Which of the following forecasting techniques would best represent the use of today's forward exchange rate to forecast the future exchange rate?

Related MCQs

• Assume that Baps Corporation is considering the establishment of a subsidiary in Norway. The initial investment required by the parent is $5,000,000. If the project is undertaken, Baps would terminate the project after four years. Baps' cost of capital is 13%, and the project is of the same risk as Baps' existing projects. All cash flows generated from the project will be remitted to the parent at the end of each year. Listed below are the estimated cash flows the Norwegian subsidiary will generate over the project's lifetime in Norwegian kroner (NOK): Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 NOK 10,000,000 NOK 15,000,000 NOK 17,000,000 NOK 20,000,000 The current exchange rate of the Norwegian kroner is $.135. Baps' exchange rate forecast for the Norwegian kroner over the project's lifetime is listed below: Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 $.13 $.14 $.12 $.15 Baps is also uncertain regarding the cost of capital. Recently, Norway has been involved in some political turmoil. What is the net
• Assume that Baps Corporation is considering the establishment of a subsidiary in Norway. The initial investment required by the parent is $5,000,000. If the project is undertaken, Baps would terminate the project after four years. Baps' cost of capital is 13%, and the project is of the same risk as Baps' existing projects. All cash flows generated from the project will be remitted to the parent at the end of each year. Listed below are the estimated cash flows the Norwegian subsidiary will generate over the project's lifetime in Norwegian kroner (NOK): Year 1 NOK 10,000,000 Year 2 NOK 15,000,000 Year 3 NOK 17,000,000 Year 4 NOK 20,000,000 The current exchange rate of the Norwegian kroner is $.135. Baps' exchange rate forecast for the Norwegian kroner over the project's lifetime is listed below: Year 1 $.13 Year 2 $.14 Year 3 $.12 Year 4 $.15 Baps is also uncertain regarding the cost of capital. Recently, Norway has been involved in some political turmoil. What is the net p
• In a forward hedge, if the forward rate is an accurate predictor of the future spot rate, the real cost of hedging payables will be:
• In a forward hedge, if the forward rate is an accurate predictor of the future spot rate, the real cost of hedging payables will be:
• Assume a UK firm uses a forward contract to hedge all of its translation exposure. Also assume that the firm underestimated what its foreign earnings would be. Assume that the foreign currency depreciated over the year. The firm would generate a translation _______, which would be _______ than the gain generated by the forward contract.
• Assume that Kramer Co. will receive SF 800,000 in 90 days. Today's spot rate of the Swiss franc is £0.42, and the 90-day forward rate is £0.425. Kramer has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 90 days: Possible Spot Rate in 90 Days Probability £0.41 10% £0.42 20% £0.43 40% £0.44 30% The probability that the forward hedge will result in more dollars received than not hedging is:
• Assume that Patton Co. will receive 100,000 New Zealand dollars (NZ$) in 180 days. Today's spot rate of the NZ$ is £0.35, and the 180-day forward rate is £0.36. A call option on NZ$ exists, with an exercise price of £0.37, a premium of £0.01, and a 180- day expiration date. A put option on NZ$ exists with an exercise price of £0.36, a premium of £0.01, and a 180-day expiration date. Patton Co. has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 180 days: Possible Spot Rate in 90 Days Probability £0.30 10% £0.35 60% £0.40 30% The probability that the forward hedge will result in more U.S. dollars received than the options hedge is _______ (deduct the amount paid for the premium when estimating the U.S. dollars received on the options hedge).
• Assume that Kramer Co. will receive SF 800,000 in 90 days. Today's spot rate of the Swiss franc is £0.42, and the 90-day forward rate is £0.425. Kramer has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 90 days: Possible Spot Rate in 90 Days Probability £0.41 10% £0.42 20% £0.43 40% £0.44 30% The probability that the forward hedge will result in more dollars received than not hedging is:
• Assume that Patton Co. will receive 100,000 New Zealand dollars (NZ$) in 180 days. Today's spot rate of the NZ$ is £0.35, and the 180-day forward rate is £0.36. A call option on NZ$ exists, with an exercise price of £0.37, a premium of £0.01, and a 180-day expiration date. A put option on NZ$ exists with an exercise price of £0.36, a premium of £0.01, and a 180-day expiration date. Patton Co. has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 180 days: Possible Spot Rate in 90 Days Probability £0.30 10% £0.35 60% £0.40 30% The probability that the forward hedge will result in more U.S. dollars received than the options hedge is _______ (deduct the amount paid for the premium when estimating the U.S. dollars received on the options hedge).
• Due to _______, market forces should realign the relationship between the interest rate differential of two currencies and the forward premium (or discount) on the forward exchange rate between the two currencies.